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Oscars 2012: And the Winners Will Be…

February 23, 2012

Will The Artist make the biggest noise on Oscar night? Can George Clooney take home his first Best Actor statuette (along with the statuesque Stacy Keibler)?  And will Hollywood say hooray for New York giants Martin Scorsese and Woody Allen? Before you dive into your Oscar office pool, check out my predictions in all of the major categories! (And for my reviews of the nominated films, click on the highlighted links below).

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn

Jonah Hill, Moneyball

Nick Nolte, Warrior

Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

This one’s a battle of the grizzled veterans. While I’d love to see Nolte win for Warrior (he deserved it even more for Affliction), octogenarians Plummer and Von Sydow are a decade older and more beloved. The deafening critical boos for Extremely Loud will hamper sympathy for Von Sydow’s silent performance (too bad he didn’t get cast in The Artist), so expect The Sound of Music alum Plummer to waltz off with this one, especially after his graceful Golden Globes acceptance speech.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Berenice Bejo, The Artist

Jessica Chastain, The Help

Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids

Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs

Octavia Spencer, The Help

While it’s possible that Help costars Spencer and Chastain could hurt each other’s chances, it’s more likely Spencer will emerge triumphant for her major breakthrough as Minnie. Considering the pie she fed Hilly, would you vote against her?

BEST ACTOR

Demian Bichir, A Better Life

George Clooney, The Descendants

Jean Dujardin, The Artist

Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Brad Pitt, Moneyball

Everyone’s billing this as a George vs. Jean showdown, but I’m not so sure it’s that simple. While Clooney’s succeeded Jack Nicholson as the King of Hollywood and his publicity team has done a great job of making a case that he deserves it, his Oceans 11/12/13 cohort Brad Pitt is also Tinseltown royalty and has never won. And don’t underestimate the respect his peers hold for Oldman. Still… Clooney’s gonna win. Because nobody looks better in a tux.

BEST ACTRESS

Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs

Viola Davis, The Help

Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady

Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

It seemed like Meryl Streep was a lock to win her first Oscar since 1983—until people actually saw The Iron Lady. Sure, Streep was great, but she’s always great, and the movie…well, not so much. Enter her Doubt costar Davis, who should join Spencer as Oscar-winning Help mates.

BEST DIRECTOR

Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist

Alexander Payne, The Descendants

Martin Scorsese, Hugo

Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris

Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life

If Scorsese hadn’t won for The Departed, he’d be unbeatable for Hugo. He’s still got a strong shot, but it feels like it’s going to be a big night for The Artist, so expect first-time nominee Hazanavicius to upset the more experienced artists in this category.

BEST PICTURE

The Artist

The Descendants

Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

The Help

Hugo

Midnight in Paris

Moneyball

The Tree of Life

War Horse

It’s as simple as black and white: The Artist is going to win. And here are my picks in the other categories, except for foreign films, docs and shorts, which I’ve not seen…

Animated Film: Rango

Art Direction: The Artist

Cinematography: Hugo

Costume Design: The Artist

Film Editing: The Artist

Makeup: Albert Nobbs

Music: The Artist

Original Song: “Man or Muppet” (yay!)

Sound Editing: War Horse

Sound Mixing: War Horse

Visual Effects: Hugo

Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants

Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris (but Woody won’t show up)

Who are you picking on Sunday night? Post a comment!

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2 Comments
  1. Those echo some of my own picks, though some differ greatly. Check out my predictions and let me know what you think!
    http://burdseyeviews.com/2012/02/23/fearless-oscar-predictions/

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  1. Oscars 2012: The Morning After « Fretts on Film

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